The Volcker Rule, Bipartisan Progress, and a Chance of Snow

Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd (D-CT) and Ranking Member Richard Shelby (R-AL) continue to work towards bipartisan agreement on at least some key elements of a financial reform measure. While the process has been a rocky one, both Senators appear to be working hard to find common ground. They appear to have found agreement on at least two things:

1. There will NOT be a stand-alone Consumer Financial Protection Agency.  Rather, consumer protections functions will be folded into another agency or agencies.

2. The president's proposal to limit the size of financial institutions (the "Volcker rule") has complicated the process and may have come too late in the game.

Our contacts on the Hill are telling us to expect committee action on a financial reform package by the end of the month. Regardless of the final outcome of the Dodd-Shelby discussions, the Chairman appears committed to moving ahead.

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Dodd Retiring

Sen. Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd's (D-CT) announcement that he will not seek re-election has roiled the already choppy waters surrounding the financial reform legislation. The Financial Reform Watch team has been intrigued by the comments attibuted to congressional and industry sources indicating that his retirement may increase the opportunity for a bipartisan bill. We are not so sure.

While we would all like to think that respect for a departing colleague and the desire of Senators to help him cement his legacy would result in more cooperation, there is little evidence to suggest today's Senate operates on that principle. We need only look back as far as the consideration of health care reform to support our view. Early in 2009, many thought the illness of Sen. Ted Kennedy would spur Senators to help him achieve his goal of more than 30 years to achieve health care reform. After his death, there was even more talk of how Senators might be moved to seek accommodation in his memory. Clearly, those sentiments—if they ever existed—were overwhelmed by the deep partisan divide in the Senate.

Today, those who indicate that bipartisanship might emerge in the wake of Dodd's announcement seem to believe he will be more accommodating of GOP concerns over certain issues—particularly the creation of the Consumer Financial Protection Agency. Our contacts on the Hill suggest that creation of that agency is as close to non-negotiable for the Administration and Sen. Dodd, not to mention House leaders, as any issue in the package. If the price of GOP support for the bill is dropping that, we are doubtful we will see much bipartisanship.

So our assessment is that is is too early to say whether Dodd's retirement improves or diminishes chances for a bill to be enacted. Your FRW team will be monitoring the situation closely and will keep you apprised of developments.

House Passes Financial Reform

This afternoon the House of Representatives took a significant step towards the enactment of comprehensive financial reform legislation, passing the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2009 (H.R. 4173) by a vote of 223 to 202. Democrats would have preferred a larger margin of victory, but they can take some satisfaction from having now passed three of the Obama Administration's major priorities—climate change, health care, and financial reform.

Throughout the week, the Democratic leadership was forced to fend off several attempts by moderate Democrats to narrow the bill’s provisions, especially those relating to the Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA). On Wednesday, word quickly spread around the Capitol that a federal preemption amendment backed by Rep. Melissa Bean and her allies in the New Democrat Coalition faced strong opposition from the White House and Treasury, who were seeking to bar it from consideration on the House floor. The Bean amendment would have broadened the CFPA’s ability to preempt state consumer protection laws. However, following direct negotiations between the New Dems and top Treasury officials, a modified version of Bean’s preemption amendment was ultimately wrapped into a manager’s amendment that passed on Thursday.

Another significant amendment, opposed by House leadership and the White House, was offered by Rep. Walt Minnick (D-ID). Minnick's amendment would have replaced the Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA) with a Consumer Financial Protection Council (CFPC), comprised of 12 members, including, among others, the Secretary of Treasury, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve and the chairman of the CFTC and SEC. Although rejected by a vote of 208-223, Minnick was able to pick off 33 Democrats, potentially providing momentum for a CFPA alternative in the Senate where the Banking committee is still working on a bipartisan compromise.

The defeat of the "cramdown" amendment offered by Rep. John Conyers (D-MI) was a victory for the banking industry. Conyers' amendment would have enabled bankruptcy courts to modify mortgage repayment periods, reduce interest rates and fees, and lower the mortgage principal balance to the level of a home’s fair market value. Although the House passed similar language as part of the Helping Families Save Their Homes Act of 2009 (H.R. 1106) in March, the amendment was rejected today by a vote of 188-241.

Now that Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank (D-MA) got his comprehensive reform package passed before the holidays, the pressure is on Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd (D-CT) to produce results on his side of the Capitol.

Financial Reform Package Nearly Primed for House Floor Debate...

…But first, the House Rules Committee will meet this afternoon and Wednesday to consider nearly 250 amendments that have been filed to the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2009 (H.R. 4173), initiating a process that will set the parameters for a series of votes to occur during three days of floor consideration that could begin later this week.

Reflecting increasing pressure from Capitol Hill for the Obama administration to ramp up existing mortgage foreclosure prevention efforts, Rep. John Conyers (D-MI) and Zoe Lofgren (D-CA) have offered an amendment to H.R. 4173 that reincarnates a highly controversial provision—known as “cramdown”—which would allow bankruptcy judges to modify the terms of troubled mortgages.

Identical to the language passed by the House in March under the Helping Families Save Their Homes Act of 2009 (H.R. 1106), the Conyers-Lofgren amendment would authorize bankruptcy courts to modify mortgage repayment periods, interest rates and fees, and even the principal balance if a borrower provides evidence that efforts to complete a loan modification through the Obama administration’s “Making Homes Affordable” program have failed. Despite passage in the House, the cramdown legislation has twice been voted down in the Senate during separate votes in 2008 and 2009.

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Divide, Conquer, and Reassemble

The House Financial Services Committee yesterday completed work on the last pieces of its financial reform package, approving the systemic risk bill (H.R. 3996) and the Federal Insurance Office Act (H.R. 2609). Next Tuesday, December 8th, the House Rules Committee will reassemble into one large package all of the bills the Financial Services Committee considered separately. That package will include the two bills approved yesterday as well as legislation covering the Consumer Financial Protection Agency (H.R. 3795), over the counter derivatives (H.R. 3126), executive compensation and corporate governance (H.R. 3269), and mortgage reform and lending standards (H.R. 1728).

Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank (D-MA) is angling to have the omnibus reform package on the House floor on December 9th with at least three days of debate before the final vote. FR Watch is hearing from others on the committee that the date may slip to the following week. Frank said he anticipates the Rules Committee will approve ten additional, substantive amendments for consideration by the full House.

As the House is putting its package back together, the Senate Banking Committee is peeling apart the (Chairman Chris) Dodd draft so that bipartisan pairs of Senators can delve more deeply into assigned issue areas. Chairman Dodd (D-CT) and Ranking Member Shelby (R-AL) are focusing on the Consumer Financial Protection Agency. Senators Reed (D-RI) and Gregg (R-NH) are examining derivatives and credit rating provisions. Senators Schumer (D-NY) and Crapo (R-ID) are taking on corporate governance, investor liability, and executive compensation. Senators Warner (D-VA) and Corker (R-TN) are covering issues related to systemic risk.

The Senate Banking Committee has not yet scheduled any (financial reform-related) hearings beyond today’s nomination hearing for Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, but it is safe to assume that the committee will be fixated on financial reform for the rest of December and probably well into the new year.
 

Clash of the Chairmen

Gaining strong momentum after its passage out of the House Financial Services Committee last week, a bill crafted by Chairman Barney Frank (D-MA) to create a new Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA) ran into a significant and unforeseen roadblock on Thursday – fellow Democrat and equally powerful House Energy and Commerce Chairman Henry Waxman (CA). In what could have been a routine markup of H.R. 3126, the Consumer Financial Protection Agency Act of 2009, the House Energy and Commerce Committee -- whose jurisdiction includes consumer protection and Federal Trade Commission oversight -- made dramatic changes to Frank's bill. One of the most obvious can be gathered from the amended bill's title: the Consumer Financial Protection Commission Act of 2009.

Waxman and the committee's Ranking Member Joe Barton (R-TX) collaborated on the manager’s amendment that would dramatically shift the agency’s governance from a single director to a commission led by a five-person bipartisan panel. Modeled after independent agencies like the Federal Communications Commission and the Federal Trade Commission, the chairman and commissioners would be nominated by the president, confirmed by the Senate, and serve staggered five year terms

Frank expressed sharp disapproval of the Waxman approach, referring to the commission model as “a big mistake” that will “weaken the capacity of the agency to provide consumer protection.” Frank defended the House Financial Services version as a balanced approach that allows a CFPA director to take prompt action, while at the same time, receiving the necessary recommendations and oversight from a board comprised of bank regulators and consumer groups. The differences may need to be resolved on the House floor. Waxman indicated he would have further changes during the floor debate, specifically removing some of the industry exemptions that were carved out by the House Financial Services legislation, including those for merchants, retailers and auto dealers.

The House Rules Committee will be the next stop for the bills where Chairman Louise Slaughter (D-NY) will execute the will of the House Democratic leadership and likely resolve the differences. It would not be in the best interest of the White House or congressional Democrats to have two of its most powerful chairmen battle over consumer protection on the House floor. The schedule is not yet posted, but the Rules Committee reconciliation could occur as early as next week.


 

Preemption in Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA) Bill--More to Come

Heading into the House Financial Services Committee's markup of the CFPA bill last week, a handful of moderate, pro-business Democrats—including Reps. Melissa Bean (IL) and Jim Himes (CT)—banded together with the intention of significantly watering down bill language that scraps long-standing federal preemption laws related to consumer protection. However, merely a week later, and in the midst of suggestions from Democratic colleagues that a reinstitution of federal preemption laws would hamper the rulemaking ability of the states and ultimately poison the overarching bill, Bean and her allies were only able to muster a few drops as the committee approved legislation this morning by a vote of 39-29.

Instead, by voice vote, the committee agreed yesterday to an amendment to the Consumer Financial Protection Agency Act of 2009 (H.R. 3126) that allows the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) or the Office of Thrift Supervision to intervene and preempt state laws on a limited basis, only in cases where state law discriminates against nationally chartered institutions or “significantly interferes with” national banks’ ability to engage in banking. Offered by Reps. Mel Watt (D-NC) and Dennis Moore (D-KS), the amendment still leaves in place bill language that severely limits the exemptions from state laws that nationally chartered thrifts, banks, and their operating subsidiaries have enjoyed since 2004. 

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Timing Is Everything

While Senate Banking Committee leaders Sens. Chris Dodd (D-CT) and Richard Shelby (R-AL) have been engaged in a public display of bipartisanship about shaping comprehensive financial services reform legislation, it appears difficulties are arising in finding common ground on key issues. What we hear on Capitol Hill is that development of a detailed legislative proposal is now taking place almost exclusively on the Democratic side. GOP involvement has been minimal in recent weeks as Sen. Dodd's team seeks to pull together a draft piece of legislation.

The earlier goal of releasing a bipartisan draft in October and having a committee markup soon thereafter is proving elusive. Committee staff continues to work on a comprehensive measure including the controversial Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA) and—one way or another—we expect something to emerge from that process in the next few weeks. Key committee members believe the CFPA is the one thing on which the Administration will draw a line in the sand, so opponents of that agency should not expect any early "give" on that front from the Democratic side. The major issues on that topic will center on the scope of the agency's authority and the powers it will have.

The issue of systemic risk regulation is under active discussion at the committee and it appears unlikely the Fed will be given that role. One indicator of the Fed's unpopularity at the committee these days is that there appears to be some reticence to move quickly on re-confirmation hearings for Fed Chair Ben Bernanke. Committee leaders would like to avoid hearings that might color the committee's deliberations on financial reform legislation. So even though his term is up at the end of the year, we would not be surprised to see Bernanke's reconfirmation delayed until after the New Year. He can stay in office beyond the expiration of his term, so there is no burning need to get the process completed right on time.

Can New Dems Deliver Preemption?

Following last week’s unveiling of his newly-modified draft bill to create a Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA), House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank (D-MA) announced Wednesday his intention mark up the bill the week of October 12. While the philosophical debate between House Democrats and Republicans over the CFPA’s creation may be coming to a close, the debate amongst Democrats over the CFPA’s contours may be just beginning.

Federal preemption of state banking regulations is one of the first issues to divide Democrats. During Wednesday's committee hearing, Democratic lawmakers expressed concerns over a provision in Frank’s draft that would scrap federal preemption laws related to consumer protection. The Frank bill would have the CFPA set a minimum federal threshold and enable the states to set stricter rules if they choose. The potential exposure of nationally chartered banks to different consumer financial protection laws in every state is a prospect some fear would be overly cumbersome.

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An Evolving Approach to Consumer Financial Protection

House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank (D-MA) yesterday sent a memo to his Democratic colleagues on the committee outlining areas where he is willing to compromise on the Obama administration’s proposed Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA) and inviting additional Member input. In recent weeks, the Independent Community Bankers Association, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and other industry organizations have vehemently opposed the CFPA on the grounds that the new agency’s authority would be too broad and it would separate regulators’ consumer protection functions from safety and soundness responsibilities.

Moderate and Blue Dog Democrats on the committee have been receptive to industry criticisms, especially those of community bankers, who have a strong presence in most members’ congressional districts. It is not surprising that Frank is beginning to compromise on one of the most controversial elements of the administration’s plan, given the Chairman’s determination to enact financial reform before the end of the year.

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